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Glorious Goodwood

Capt. Kneesup

Capt. Kneesup

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The first day of Glorious Goodwood with the tips for every race.

TUESDAY

13:50 – Unibet ‘you’re On’ Chesterfield Cup Hcap (C2) (4YO plus) 1m 2f

The trends narrow it down to just five and my profile list would have produced 16 of the last 17 winners. Two of the five are Mark Johnston horses. His record over the last 10 years in this race reads 4W – 7P – 22R. The first of his might well start favourite and MAYDANNY won this last year off a 12lbs lower mark. Just for once, this might be a fair reflection of his ability. Before looking at the trends, I did quite fancy MIGRATION who was backed off the board LTO at Salisbury and won easily despite being checked as he made his run. The Gosden’s have put cheekpieces on HARROVIAN for the first time, but a key stat is that he has only had the one race this year compared to the 17 previous winners who had all raced at least twice. I wouldn’t put you off backing him e/w, but I’m sticking with the trends. OUZO is on the shortlist and Ryan Moore gets the ride, and I thought his Hunt Cup was really unlucky and his fourth was no recompense. BELL ROCK bamboozled me in the Hunt Cup, but I think the horse was saved by his apprentice when he saw the race was lost, and he is decent odds for a trends horses. Providing it hasn’t dried out too much. I could put up a case for all five but instead suggest this small lunge.

OUZO e/w – BELL ROCK e/w – 20 x ¼pt CFC OUZO – MAYDANNY – SKY DEFENDER – LUCANDER – BELL ROCK

14:25 – Unibet Vintage Stakes (G2) (C1) (2YO only) 7f

The Coventry Stakes produced an outstanding 1-2 with BERKSHIRE SHADOW beating ELDRICKJONES by a nose. The latter was given a bump in a closing gap but quickly got his balance back. The winner gets a 3lb penalty and that might make a difference to his chances against the close-up third. Both horses, together with AUSTRIAN THEORY qualify on trends, but I’m sticking with EDRICKJONES who I think finds 6f a bit sharp in most conditions.

ELDRICKJONES Win

15:00 – Unibet Lennox Stakes (G2) (C1) (3YO plus) 7f

CREATIVE FORCE won the Jersey Stakes comfortably and looks progressive. POGO ran well into a Queen Anne Stakes fifth place and while he is not a Group 1 horse, if he is given the lead on the fast ground he could easily take this. HAPPY POWER 4th in The Diamond Jubilee is another decent horse who isn’t quite of G1 standard and has also been bouncing around various distances when he is perhaps best seen at 7f. He stayed on in the final furlong and the trainer suggested this should be his target. The trends however suggest that the winner comes from CREATIVE FORCE – SPACE BLUES or KINROSS. Charlie Appleby’s SPACE BLUES won this last year, but he has been off course for 122 days, so I’m going to suggest sticking with

CREATIVE FORCE Win – HAPPY POWER e/w (get 4 places from most bookmakers)

15:35 – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup Stakes (G1) (BCS) (C1) (3YO plus) 2m

STRADIVARIUS is trying for a fifth win in this and has already beaten the great DOUBLE TRIGGER’s three-timer. Frankie couldn’t manage to get him a fourth Ascot Gold Cup and his race times certainly suggest that Anno Domini is having an impact. Will that stop him being favourite? Probably not. Will he win? Probably not. SPANISH MISSION and TRUESHAN and SIR RON PRIESTLEY are the main threats. If you must have a bet, then the latter who won the G2 Princess of Wales’ at the Newmarket July meeting would be my choice as I think he offers some value at around 10s.

SIR RON PRIESTLEY e/w

16:10 – Back To Goodwood Hcap (C2) (4YO plus) 5f

RECON MISSION won at Epsom three runs ago and he ran in this last year as the 100/30f – but stumbled when leaving the stalls and lost the race there and then. He was OR 97 as he tripped up, and he now gets in here off 86, plus another 3lbs for his decent apprentice, and first-time cheekpieces. What could possibly go wrong? I fancy JABBAROCKIE who is back in handicap company after running in the G2 Temple Stakes back in May but finished lame that day. I’m assuming he was fancied by the yard, rather than being sent for pot money and he has decent form figures. The current favourite is KING OF STARS who won at Bath in April and was a decent 2nd in a handicap on the July course LTO. (He beat Gelhorn by 4l who has won well since and who runs in the 5:50).

JABBAROCKIE e/w – RECON MISSION e/w

16:45 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (C2) (2YO only) 6f

This is a race that produces copy for notebooks and potentially OLIVETTI might be one of those. His debut at Newbury was the equivalent of watching St Vitus deciding that he should take up dancing but it would be best if he did it mounted. He ducked, he baulked, he dropped the bit, he ran like a dog, and bar getting into his own traffic jam,  there was more than enough to suggest he will win races. Of the unraced colts, DANGEROUS RASCAL is well bred and Tom Ward sent out Raging Rascal to come very close in the Saturday EBF maiden at Glorious last year. DANGEROUS looked handy in his Breeze-up at Donny, (knocked down for £100k), and he too will win races. Finally, MONET’S SUNRISE hails from Hannon’s yard, who is 2W – 2P – 18R

DANGEROUS RASCAL e/w – 2 x ½pt RFC with OLIVETTI and MONET’S SURPRISE

17:20 – Unibet Fillies’ Hcap (C3) (3YO plus) 1m

DALANIJUJO caught my eye when she came home 6th in The Kensington Palace. To say she had a troubled passage would be like saying the Titanic ran into a spot of bother. There may still be more to see from POMELO and one must consider RIKNNAH who drops in class.

DALANIJUJO Win – 2 x ½pt SFC to beat RIKNNAH and POMELO

17:50 – World Pool Ebf Fillies’ Hcap (C3) (3YO plus) 6f

GELLHORN Win

 

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