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21st April 2024 9:50 pm

“A difference of opinion is what makes horse racing and missionaries."

Ignore Weak Ratings.

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William S – MEJi – Peter N – Nigel B – Ken C – Mark S – James D – William M – Fiona M – Julian A – Jonathan H – Mrs V.M – Pete BN – Gavin C – Thom S – Sarah C – Mark S – Sam H – James R

For the Lord sayeth that many are called, but few are chosen and at Cheltenham, the meek and those rated 112 or below will not inherit the earth.

FACT: Since 2003, there have been a total of 438 races. In that time 59 races have had 139 runners in them, rated 112 or less. None of them won and only five were placed. The A/E was an astonishing 0. CrikeyKneesup, I hear you say, you’ve set the bar a bit low there. Well yes – but that’s just the fact of the matter. Interestingly, if we run the Wutan Geothermal Acoustic Modulator up to full power and ask it to tell us how the figures for horses rated 122 or below we get the following. There have been 567 horses rated 122, contesting 121 races with 10W/38p for a Win % of 1.76%. The A/E was 0.58, the ROI was -60.49% and, had you laid them all, you would have won £193. However, you would have lost £58.51 on laying the place money.

RULE: Eliminate any horse rated 112 from a racecard and consider eliminating those rated 122 or below. 

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