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Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Capt. Kneesup

Capt. Kneesup

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RACE TRENDS:

The following profile would have found the last 10 winners and 14 of the possible 23 winners since 1998. Since that date, there have been 67 horses meeting the profile competing in 22 races and producing 14 winners and 17 places for a winning profit of £58.50 and e/w profit of £69.75. The A/E is 1.44

  • Breeding : (GB) – (IRE) – (FR)
  • Headgear: None
  • Tongue Tie: Not Worn
  • Age: Between 5 And 6
  • Highest Class Win: Grp/Grd 1 – Grp/Grd 2 – Grp/Grd 3 – Listed
  • Career Runs: Between 2 And 9
  • Hurdle Runs: Between 2 And 5
  • LTO Race Distance: Between 2m and 2m4f
  • DSLR: Between 16 And 115

8th February 2021

BALLYADAM was 2nd in the Novice Hurdle and while not winning the run was eye-catching. Traveling well coming around the home turn, he looked as though he was going to mount a serious challenge to the winner APPRECIATE IT (cut to 7/4), before fiddling the last. He wouldn’t have won – but he would have been closer. He’s a G1 novice hurdle winner this season. Cut from 16/1 to 10s in places, 8/1 NRNB. His price will further contract as Tom Segal has put him up as an ante-post bet at 9s.

His price has contracted for the Ballymore 20/1 in places, 12/1 NRNB.

27th Jan 2021

Harry Fry is leaning towards the Supreme for METIER rather than the Ballymore after entries for the novice hurdles at the Cheltenham Festival were revealed. A Best priced 7s (6s NRNB), Metier is 2nd Fav after the five-year-old recorded an impressive 12-length victory in the Grade One Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown earlier this month. Fry said: “Metier is a Tolworth winner and the Supreme is the much more likely of the two races, rather than the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle, but we will just keep our options open at this stage. He has got an entry in the Betfair Hurdle in just over a fortnight’s time, but there is no definite decision yet. He has done everything right so far over hurdles and is a very exciting novice that seems to be progressing into either a Supreme or a Ballymore horse. There is a race at Exeter the day after (the Betfair) in which he would only have a 5lb penalty, but then if you are looking at that why not run in a Betfair? If the weather keeps as it is there is every chance he will line up in the Betfair Hurdle. I think a better race with an even stronger gallop will suit him better again. We were able to drop him in the last day in the Tolworth, but we would have still been happier if they had gone faster. All his form is on the slower ground and it would be interesting to see him on better ground. At some point, we will encounter it, but good horses go on all ground. We would have to weigh up and decide the pros and cons whether going on better ground means we would have to step him up in trip.”

Harry Fry has entered BOOTHILL in both the Supreme and the Ballymore. The 6yo won a Taunton Novice Hurdle by 9+l at Taunton in December. Harry Fry said: “Boothill had a splint flare up about 10 days after he won at Taunton and that just held us up for a few weeks. I had hoped to get him back for the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon, but that is just going to come too soon. He could end up going to the Dovecote at the end of February. In the worst-case scenario, he might even end up going straight to Cheltenham – I would like to get another run into him between now and then, but we will be guided by him. We are back pressing on again with him. Hopefully, we don’t get a recurrence of the splint injury and get a clear run with him. Certainly, on the manner of his debut win at Taunton, there look to be lots to look forward to. Boothill and Metier are completely different types. Metier is an ex-Flat horse that is very workmanlike at home and is very much a hurdler, whereas Boothill is a proper chasing type who impresses in everything he does at home.”

15th Jan 2021

BALLYADAM is a concern for the Supreme Novices as some thought he looked as though he needed further LTO. He has an entry for the Ballymore and you can still get 25s with no concessions and 12s NRNB

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