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The GN Trends

Capt. Kneesup

Capt. Kneesup

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AGE

  • 24/29 (14/17) Aged 9 or older

BETTING

  • 23/29 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 21/29 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting

CLASS

  • 28/29 (15/17) OR 137 >
  • 20 / 20 OR 136+
  • 22/29 Carries 10-13 or less
    • 20 / 20 Carries 10-3
  • 20 / 20 Carried at least 10st 10lbs LTO
  • 19 / 20 Ran in a G3/Listed/Cl2 LTO
  • 20 / 20 Same or up 1-2 classes as LTO
  • 19 / 20 Placed in at least a G3

DISTANCE

  • 16/17 – Had won over at least 3m previously
  • 27/29 – Had won a 24f+ Chase

 

PREVIOUS RUNS

  • 28/29 DSLR = < 55
    • 23/29 DSLR = < 34
    • 15/17 DSLR = <50
  • 25/29 – Had won Max 6 Chase races
  • 20 / 20 (86%) – 10+ Starts over fences
  • 20 / 20 – 3-6 Starts in past 180 days
  • 20 / 20 (77%) – 10+ Career placings
  • 20 / 20 (79%) – 1+ placings in past year
  • 20 / 20 (83%) – 18+ Career starts
  • 19 / 20 (69%) – Best in 3 of at least 3rd

INTERESTING FACTS

  • Previously run over 4m4f, in 2013 the trip was reduced to 4m2f (74yds).

Aintree Grand National Winner Trends 1991– 2020

  • 19/29 – Had won between 4-6 times over fences before
  • 18/29 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 18/29 – Aged 10 years-old or younger
  • 16/29 – Placed favourites
  • 16/29 – Carried 10-8 OR LESS
  • 16/29 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
  • 15/29 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
  • 11/29 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
  • 10/29 – Trained in Ireland (inc 7 of the last 14 years)
  • 6/29 – Won by the favourite or joint-favourite
  • 7/29 – Ran in a previous Grand National
  • 7/29 – Won last time out
  • 3/29 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
  • 2/29 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
  • 2/29 – Ridden by Davy Russell
  • 2/29 – Ridden by Leighton Aspell
  • 0/29 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old OR LESS

Aintree Grand National Trends 2003 – 2020

  • 10/17 – Winners from the top 8 in the betting
  • 10/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
  • 9/17 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
  • 8/17 – Experienced the National fences before
  • 7/17 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
  • 7/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
  • 5/17 – Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
  • 5/17 – Won their last race
  • 4/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
  • 3/17 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
  • 2/17 – Won by the McCain yard
  • 2/17 – Ridden by Davy Russell

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