Selections from the trends shortlist based on five-day entries
Final Selections
TUESDAY JUNE 18
Queen Anne Stakes (G1) – 2:30 pm
AUDIENCE 3 pts Win – MALJOOM 2 pts e/w – DOLAYLI 2 pts e/w
Sort List of Three: BIG ROCK 6/1 – AUDIENCE 10/1 – INSPIRAL 9/4
Away from the trends: POKER FACE 33/1 has got Group form. Any rain in the ground between now and Tuesday would greatly aid his cause.
Coventry Stakes (G2) – 3:05 pm
Dutch COWARDOFTHECOUNTY – AL QUDRA for 9 pts – ELECTROLYTE – ARRAN 2 pts e/w each
THE ACTOR 16/1 e/w – COWARD OF THE COUNTY Win 9/2 AL QUDRA e/w – ELECTROLYTE 25/1 e/w
King Charles III Stakes (G1) – 3:45 pm
KERDOS – TWILIGHT CALLS Dutch for 7 pts Win (approx 5/1 at current odds) – VALIANT FORCE 4 pts e/w
KERDOS 10/1 and MITBAAHY 20/1. – KERDOS would be a strong selection at this stage e/w.
VALIANT FORCE e/w – TWILIGHT CALLS too big at 14s. the pair for Exotics and Placepots.
Consider all four for a combo exotic.
St James’s Palace Stakes (G1) – 4:25 pm
ROSALLION 5 pts Win – DARLINGHURST 3 pts e/w
TRENDS SELECTION: ROSALLION 3/1 – METROPOLITAN 8/1 – HAATEM 20/1 – RIVER TIBER 25/1
Given the pricing trends, you’d have to think ROSALLION for the win, but I do like METRPOLITAN’s form and one not on the trends – DARLINGHURST. He fails the trends because he has had too much racing this season and has not won a G1 or G2. However, he has very decent form, which was boosted when First Look was 2nd in the French Derby. There are several other form lines that suggest he is a G1 heir-apparent, and I accept that there is an element of guessology – but his price suggests that I am not far wrong in my opinion.
Ascot Stakes (Handicap) – 5.05 pm
BOHER ROAD 3 pts Win – TRITONIC 3 pts e/w -THE VERY MAN 2 pts e/w – ALMUHIT 2 pts e/w
Wolferton Stakes (Listed) – 5:40 pm
ISRAR 5 pts Win – MUJTABA 3 pts e/w
The weak trends leave me with a choice from five: 14-24-8-3-21. If the ground comes up softish – I’d be looking at HAUNTED DREAM (25/1) – REGAL REALITY (14/1) and ASTRO KING (12/1)
Keep TORITO (6/1) in the back of your mind as well. He is now gelded, and was caught in traffic last year in the Hampton Court, but kept on strongly in the final furlong. A decent third in Newmarket’s Suffolk Stakes at Newmarket and given another 2lbs to 107. He’s ideally suited to this 10f distance
Copper Horse Stakes (Handicap) – 6:15 pm
A PIECE OF HEAVEN 5 pts e/w
If he comes here rather than the Ascot Stakes, I’d fancy PIED PIPER for Fat Gordy. He is more than up to the task (¾l 2nd in The Cesarewitch last season, 3rd in the County Hurdle this season-2nd last season) and is only 2lbs higher. However be warned Jamie Spencer is named in the plate for The Ascot Stakes so he might well go there.
A PIECE OF HEAVEN looks pattern class, winning his last at Leopardstown by 4l. His mark is frankly a stab-in-the-dark number, and I think he could be good for another 10lbs.
WEDNESDAY JUNE 19
Queen Mary Stakes (G2) – 2:30 pm
KASSAYA 4 pts e/w – MAW LAM 2 pts e/w
Those who lead or race prominently have the best chance and based on the very small data sample of known racing styles to date, and dependent on the draw being high, the winner might come from WHERE’S CLARE [25/1] – FLICKA’S GIRL [66/1] – AMESTRIS [16/1] – BOUNTIFUL [40/1] – KASSAYA [14/1] – TRULY ENCHANTING [7/1] – XANTHE [16/1] We have no knowledge of the Wes Ward horses running style – but US sprint horses tend to try to win from the front.
Forced to recommend one – KASSAYA e/w
The Queen’s Vase (G2) – 3:05 pm
Dutch HIGHBURY – BIRDMAN 7 pts Win – 3 pt e/w double MEYDAAN and SPACE LEGEND (King Edward VII, Friday)
The trends at this stage don’t really rule too much out, and one is left with a credible list of 9 runners. These include five AoB horses, and of those, HIGHBURY is the current 2/1 favourite. What can one say? He will be very hard to beat and much shorter when the final entries are made on Monday. His 7½l victory in a May Leopardstown Maiden was hugely impressive. Actually, facile would be the word, bar the fact that the competition that day has turned out to be above average itself. HIGHBURY beat Himalayan Heights and Highland Blig, who have both gone on to win since, and Vice President and Teofimo have since been placed and look like Black Type horses in waiting. He’s by Galileo, and he won’t mind the ground if it has been raining. His Irish Derby and Leger entries suggest he is well-regarded, and he would be amongst my bankers for the meeting. Jess Harrington’s BIRDMAN would be my each-way call, especially if the going has the word Soft in it.
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (G2) – 3:45 pm
OCEAN JEWEL 4 pts e/w
OCEAN JEWEL [10/1] – NOVUS [20/1] – ROYAL DRESS [16/1]
The latter hasn’t won a Group race to date (won Listed)
I might have a pop at the pair e/w and, through sheer greed and nothing to do with the trends, have a go at RUNNING LION @ 16/1 with Oisin Murphy already booked.
Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (G1) – 4:25 pm
ALFLAILA 3 pts e/w
The trends leave me with four at this stage: AUGUSTE RODIN – LUXEMBOURG – ROYAL RHYME – WHITE BIRCH
I think I might just do the Trifecta with those three. I think AUGUSTE RODIN wins – LUXEMBOURG 2nd – WHITE BIRCH 3rd I will be interested to see BLUE ROSE CEN who on a going day has the ability to rattle a few cages.
Royal Hunt Cup (Handicap) – 5.05 pm
METAL MERCHANT – HOLLOWAY BOY – THUNDER BALL 2 pts Win – 3 pts place each. – All 3 with STREETS OF GOLD and WILD TIGER in 20 x ½ pt Boxed Exacta
The trends give a workable list of 10. If you paid heed to 14/22 were aged 4yo – the remaining seven are:
THUNDERBALL – METAL MERCHANT – DAYSOFOURLIVES – KINGS CODE – LONDONER – BLUELIGHT BAY – ALPHA CRUCIS
Subject to the draw, I would be at this stage looking at METAL MERCHANT, THUNDER BALL and DAYSOFOURLIVES all e/w
The Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) – 5:40 pm
ELIM 4 pts e/w – AURORA DAWN 2pts e/w
Only three winners to date – all were four-year-olds and all had raced within the past month.
Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed) – 6:15 pm
TREASURE ISLE 6 pts Win – PONT NEUF 2½ pts e/w
On the Tote: SIR YOSHI 1 pt win 3 pts Place – JM JHINGREE 1 pt Win 2 pt place
This is rarely won by a late challenger coming from off the pace. With limited knowledge of these youngsters run styles – a useful tip is to back in-running – the front 2 at the 1 furlong pole.
JM JHINGREE – LOOM – MAW LAM – PONT NEUF – POWERFUL NATION – SIR YOSHI – THE ACTOR – TREASURE ISLE – WHISTLEJACKET
THE ACTOR- LOOM – TREASURE ISLE would be the initial go-tos.
THURSDAY JUNE 20
Norfolk Stakes (G2) – 2:30 pm
ARIZONA BLAZE – FRANCISCO’S PEACE – MIDNIGHT STRIKE – WHISTLEJACKET
I think the winner comes from the short-list of four and I think ARIZONA BLAZE looks a credible e/w shot for Amo Racing.
King George V Stakes (Handicap) – 3:05 pm
Horses that were 1st or 2nd LTO when starting as SP favourite and are also drawn Stall 6+ has provided seven winners from 40 bets over the last ten years, for a profit of £24.50 (+£59.80 at BSP). If you ignore those who made the running LTO or front-runners – you can’t do that in this race on this course over this distance – and the result improves to 7/33.
The trends leave a long list which does not feature my earlier advice for FRENCH DUKE. From the trends list, my eye is drawn by FOURONEOHFEVER ridden by Superstar-in-waiting Billy Loughnane, FRENCH DUKE another Varian runner with William Buick in the plate, PONIROS and CITY BURGLAR both for Ralph Beckett.
Ribblesdale Stakes (G2) – 3:45 pm
The trends gives me a short list of 7. Given the next stat that indicates the winners are quite well regarded in market terms, one would have to consider Balding’s KALPANA. After that DANIELLE for the Gosdens, and LAVA STREAM e/w. Otherwise, PORT FAIRY – SIYOLA – GALILEO DAME – JE ZOUS
Gold Cup (G1) – 4:25 pm
VAUBAN – TRAWLERMAN – KYPRIOS – SWEET WILLIAM
17/22 – Won their last race No 7-9
That leaves us with KYPRIOS and SWEET WILLIAM
KYPRIOS is already the 4/5 odds-on favourite and I suggest you use him NOW in some ante-post doubles and trebles. He is also 11/10 on Betfair – which will not be bettered, I think. Otherwise, the value lies with SWEET WILLIAM currently a BP of 16/1 with Coral, Bet Victor and Ladbrokes
Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) – 5.05 pm
A shortlist of 14. That list includes NATIVE WARRIOR – QIRAT – VOLTERRA – SKUKUZA – MICKLEY – LIVEANDLETLIVE – LOCAL HERO
Hampton Court Stakes (G3) – 5:40 pm
Of the very long list left – only the following selections might meet the stat that 18/21 were 8/1 or lower on SP. KINGS GAMBIT – FIRST LOOK – BRACKEN’S LAUGH – JAYAREBE – BELLUM JUSTUM – CAMBRIDGE – CAVIAR HEIGHTS
Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) – 6:15 pm
FRIDAY JUNE 21
Albany Stakes (G3) – 2:30 pm
BURNING PINE – FAIRY GODMOTHER – HEAVENS GATE – PEREGRINE FALCON – SIMMERING – TRULY ENCHANTING.
If you then utilise the 18/22 Won LTO stat you lose PEREGRINE FALCON and SIMMERING – but that still leaves you the ante-post favourite FAIRY GODMOTHER at 7/4, TRULY ENCHANTING the third-favourite at 8/1 and HEAVEN’S GATE at 12/1… all three trained by AOB. Wes Ward runs BURNING PINE, which looks at e/w value at 14/1 at the moment.
Commonwealth Cup (G1) – 3:05 pm
Not much to go on – but I would have a plausible list of VANDEEK [4/1], ELITE STATUS [7/1], BUCANERO FUERTE [8/1], RIVER TIBER [8/1], JASOUR [11/1, GIVEMETHEBEATBOYS [20/1]
Coronation Stakes (G1) – 3:45 pm
At this stage, I’m left with four: CONTENT [25/1] – ELMALKA [4/1] – FOLGARIA [66/1] – OPERA SINGER [13/8]. they include the first two in the betting market
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) – 4:25 pm
You would have found the last nine of the ten winners by simply backing horses that were drawn 9 or higher in this race and were in the top 5 in the betting LTO
The trends suggest – by price: DEAKIN [8] LA YAKEL [12] DAVIDEO [16] FAIRBANKS [16] INTELLOTTO [16] SEA KING [16] AL ANOUD [20] KNIGHTSWOOD [20]
Sandringham Stakes (Handicap) – 5.05 pm
Race favourite INDELIBLE makes the trends as does CHIC COLOMBINE – EVERLASTING – CAT NINJA
King Edward VII Stakes (G2) – 5:40 pm
Palace Of Holyrood House Stakes (Handicap) – 6:15 pm
SATURDAY JUNE 22
Chesham Stakes (Listed) – 2:30 pm
Hardwicke Stakes (G2) – 3:05 pm
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (G1) – 3:45 pm
Jersey Stakes (G3) – 4:25 pmWokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) – 5.05 pm
Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap) – 5:40 pm
Based on only four years of stats, it appears you’re looking for stall 7 or higher to produce a hold-up colt as the winner.
Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions) – 6:15 pm