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“A difference of opinion is what makes horse racing and missionaries."

A billion races, less runners, but it pales beside the multiverse

Capt. Kneesup

Capt. Kneesup

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Between last night and this, I ran into the work of Albanian-born cosmologist Laura Mersini-Houghton, who has a fascinating profile piece in The New Scientist this week and who has received wide coverage for her theories surrounding the existence of a multiverse formed at the time of Big Bang. In essence, she has postulated that we are simply a part of a multiverse and that we have already seen signs of those other universes in the cosmic microwave background – the light left over from the big bang. Surprisingly, much of her thinking runs along similar lines to the methodologies behind Raceweb selections.

We swerved – as she did – Nobel prize-winning physicist, Roger Penrose’s estimate that there was a practically zero chance for our universe to come into existence. The same calculations apply to the chances of winning weeks on Raceweb. His thinking was of course based on the second law of thermodynamics, but Mersini-Houghton reconsidered and realised, that by applying quantum mechanics to the landscape of string theory, it was easier to see how the multiverse could exist. As she said, “Think of the universe as a wave, and then quantum equations will tell me what happens to that wave.”

It is very much the same as our selection process. A huge array of possible outcomes, despite the constant erosion of actual entries, by a race-planning methodology dominated by corporate self-interest, is only capable of producing a positive or correct outcome when the application of scientific decoherence is applied and the quantum mechanical cohesion behind possible outcomes is effectively washed away. In other words, the actual winner is uncoupled from the other solutions.

It is early days – but I am confident that by 2026 we should have the possibility of narrowing the winner in a five-runner race down to a very workable shortlist. If any of you would like to underwrite some of this important research, do please get in touch with your bookmaker and give him your own selections, possibly decoupled from our own work, and keep a strict recording regimen of outcomes, as we do.

Talking of a huge array of improbable outcomes……..

Please Note: 11 televised races – 8NH 3F – of which Pattern races are 3/8 NH. With an avg. of 5 runners for 40% of the televised NH Races. Wake Up BHA.

12:40 WINCANTON Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Hcap Hdl Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5½f 8 run

LADY ADARE 5 pts WIN

12:50 DONCASTER Download The BetGoodwin App Wentworth Stks Cl1 (3yo+) 6f 12 run

SUMMERGHAND 3 pts e/w

1:01 AINTREE Pertemps Network Hcap Hdl (Pertemps Qual) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m½f 8 run

MILAN BRIDGE 3 pts WinDEISE ABA (If 8 stand their ground) 2pts e/w

1:15 WINCANTON Boodles ‘Rising Stars’ Nov.’ Chs (G2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f 6 run

McFABULOUS 4 pts Win

1:30 DONCASTER Betgoodwin New UK Betting Site Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stks Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f 18 run

SOMETHING ENTICING 2pts e/w

1:50 WINCANTON 61st Badger Beer Hcap Chs Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f 13 run

IRISH PROPHECY – POTTERMAN 2 pts e/w

2:11 AINTREE Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Grand Sefton Hcap Chs Cl2 (6yo+) 2m5f 15 run

LIFETIME AMBITION 2 pts e/w

2:32 DOWN ROYAL Ladbrokes Champion Chs (G1) (5yo+) 3m 5 run

GALVIN 3 pts Win

2:45 AINTREE Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed Day Before Hdl Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f 4 run

BREWINUPASTORM 5 pts Win

3:00 WINCANTON Unibet Elite Hdl (G2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m7f 4 run

KNAPPERS HILL 3 pts Win

3:13 DONCASTER BetGoodwin November Hcap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m4f 22 run

FURZIG – CEMHAAN 2½ pts e/w both (7 places with Skybet 6 places generally)

KEENELAND SATURDAY 5th NOVEMBER

3.50pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (7f, Dirt)

Defending champion CE CE has alternated losses and wins in her 6 starts this year en route to a possible FMS repeat. Was the August 28 Ballerina at Saratoga the form race for this, when FMS favourite GOODNIGHT OLIVE beat a field that included CE CE in a never-threatening fifth-place finish? New Mexico-based SLAMMED has travelled to Del Mar and Keeneland to flex her muscle and could get a rematch from her Rancho Bernardo rival EDGEWAY. Wes Ward’s CHI TOWN LADY is interesting as is the fact that the Japanese were mob-handed last year but only have CHAIN OF LOVE running in this. Her price around 20s reflects a form line of 3/22 but she’s 2/6 on dirt and 1/1 over 7f on the surface.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: SLAMMED – CHAIN OF LOVE – CHI TOWN LADY

4.29pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (5f, Turf)

GOLDEN PAL broke like he had a jetpack in last year’s TS en route to victory at Del Mar and now defends his crown at what might be his favourite course at Keeneland. He’s 4-4 locally, including the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint in 2020. European challengers appear strong with HIGHFIELD PRINCESS at the fore, though it’s noteworthy only 1 international runner has won this race – albeit at Keeneland in 2020 with Glass Slippers at 10-1. GO BEARS GO was a close second in the JTS last year and whilst winning a brace of G3 this year he hasn’t done well in G1 company. Nonetheless, he shouldn’t be trading at 28s. ARREST ME RED has got some good form and was noteworthy here in the Sprint on Kentucky Derby weekend. I worry about his head not being in it.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: GO BEARS GO – GOLDEN PAL – BRAN

5.10pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (1m, Dirt)

After featuring odds-on favourites in 5 of the last 8 years, the DM has a much more wide-open feel to it this year. That’s because defending champ LIFE IS GOOD is being aimed at the Classic. LAUREL RIVER was untouchable in 2 summer starts at Del Mar in a light but impressive campaign. He’ll vie for favouritism with CODY’S WISH, though neither has ever appeared in a G1. CYBERKNIFE has, but not against older horses and I think he has too many miles on this season’s clock. There is no value with any of them, so I’m puntin small on the following.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: SLOW DOWN ANDY – SIMPLIFICATION – PIPELINE

5.50pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (1m3f, Turf)

For the past 10 years, this race literally has been a tale of Chad Brown vs. the Internationals. Brown has done his best to hold down the fort with 4 wins, but the worldwide raiders gained the edge with 6. Brown has Flower Bowl upsetter VIRGINA JOY and the speedy local winner IN ITALIAN while America’s best, WAR LIKE GODDESS, instead is tackling the boys in the BC Turf at 1-1/2 miles. That puts the Europeans in the spotlight, topped by French Oaks heroine NASHWA. I think she is far too short and I prefer ROUGIR and IN ITALIAN

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: ROUGIR – IN ITALIAN – ABOVE THE CURVE

6.30pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Sprint (6f, Dirt)

JACKIE’S WARRIOR was a losing favourite in Saratoga’s Forego in August and the picture is not much clearer since, but he does have the best form. ELITE POWER romped 4 rivals in a Vosburgh that was a shadow of its historical norms. Keeneland’s Phoenix produced a trifecta that returned more than 1700-to-1 odds. The 6-5 favourite in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship ran 5th of 6. Defending champ ALOHA WEST didn’t have a race or workout for 3 months until recently.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: AMERICAN THEOREM – ALOHA WEST – KIMARI

7.10pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Mile (1m, Turf)

KINROSS rides a 4-race win streak from England while last year’s Juvenile Turf winner MODERN GAMES looks to remain unbeaten in his third North American raid, having also won the Woodbine Mile in September. Like MODERN GAMES, America’s best chance may also be a 3-year-old, ANNAPOLIS. He won Keeneland’s major Fall Meet mile over a field that included 2020 BC Mile winner ORDER OF AUSTRALIA. Finally IVAR is a regular spare man at the wedding and this will be his third BCM and I am looking for him to be podiumed again.

Win-Place-Show: MODERN GAMES – ANNAPOLIS – IVAR

7.55pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Distaff (1m1f, Dirt) 6

Todd Pletcher runs the outstanding NEST and the consistent MALATHAAT, both the creme de la creme, posting easy victories in the Bedame and Spinster. Both are major stakes winners at Keeneland and should be on favourable footing. Steve Asmussen also has a pair of aces to play, wire-to-wire Cotillion dominator SOCIETY – the division’s biggest unknown – and CLAIRIERE, who beat MALATHAAT in the Shuvee and Phipps this summer. Both MALATHAAT and CLAIRIERE were within a length of winning last year’s Distaff.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: MALATHAAT- CLAIRIER – SOCIETY

8.40pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Turf (1m4f, Turf)

Trainer Charlie Appleby looks for his follow-up to last year’s Turf winner Yibir with the duo of NATIONS PRIDE and REBEL’S ROMANCE, the former already schooled in America and the latter taking a unique route through Germany this year. Europe’s $15 million earner MISHRIFF hasn’t won this year but dances all the big dances. America’s best hope may be the mare WAR LIKE GODDESS, who bested the boys in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

WIN-PLACE-SHOW: REBELS ROMANCE – WAR LIKE GODDESS – BYE BYE MELVIN

9.40pm GMT: Breeders’ Cup Classic (1m2f, Dirt)

Try as hard as one might, there is nothing in this race to match FLIGHTLINE. Think Frankel, Tudor Minstrel, Seabird, Brigadier Gerard, and then you have FLIGHTLINE. As I write he is already rated in the Top 5 racehorses of all time. By Sunday morning he could have been marked as the greatest racehorse since records began. This horse is at that level. Have FLIGHTLINE as the Winner then have EPICENTER and TAIBA in the second slot then RICH STRIKE and HOT ROD for the Trifecta.

Have a look at his recent races HERE

Win-Place-Show: FLIGHTLINE – HOT ROD – EPICENTER

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